Very strange. You could try installing vcrun2017 or vcrun2019 to see if one of those works instead, but otherwise my wine’s configuration doesn’t have anything special going on. I specifically made a new wine prefix every configuration attempt, and installing vcrun2015 was reproduceably the step that allowed the game to launch.

I have an AMD card, though that shouldn’t matter. You can potentially check the lutris log for the game to see if anything useful gets printed there. In my experience it rarely prints anything useful.

To my knowledge, wine isn’t really that complicated - there’s only a couple important components that decide whether something’s going to run or not, and I don’t think it should really change on a per-system basis outside of maybe GPU drivers.

Did you get Heavy Rain to work at least?

Edit: Also I can at least say with certainty that if you’re using Steamless + Goldberg to defeat the DRM that that is not where the problem is. The game itself is having trouble running for whatever reason.