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Cake day: April 17th, 2026

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  • I kinda don’t think he knew that early. The end of the siege of Mariupol would have been a perfect off-ramp. “We destroyed the Azov Nazis at Azovstal, the denazification of Donbas has been a success, the SMO has reached its goals and will be ended” or some such bullshit.

    I would assume he was convinced of eventual victory until at least the liberation of Kherson. And by then it was way too late to get out of it without admitting defeat.